![]() Preventing violent conflict should be a key priority for development and growth policy. The aim is to help guide policymakers on what can be done before, during, and after conflict to mitigate its effects. It outlines the different channels and mechanisms through which conflict can affect growth. This brief reviews some of the latest research measuring the causal effects of violent conflict on a range of economic outcomes. Recurrence of violence is the largest threat to long-term growth and development in conflict affected countries. ![]() Fragile states often struggle to maintain resilience to conflict and other shocks conflict, economic instability, poverty, and fragility tend to feed each other in a negative cycle. In addition to the immediate, direct effects of violence on the economy, there are a number of indirect effects that may last long after the violence has receded. Accurately estimating the economic cost of violent conflict is hard: the very existence of a conflict make measurement of economic activity difficult, and conflict can interact with the economy through multiple, complex pathways.
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